Онлайн
библиотека книг
Книги онлайн » Разная литература » Законы эпидемий. Как развиваются и почему прекращаются эпидемии болезней, финансовые кризисы, вспышки насилия и модные тренды - Адам Кучарски

Шрифт:

-
+

Закладка:

Сделать
1 ... 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 ... 97
Перейти на страницу:
id="id235">

99

https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin. 18 декабря 2017 года цена составляла 19 395 долларов США, а 16 декабря 2018 года – 3220 долларов США.

100

Rodrigue J.-P., ‘Stages of a bubble’, extract from The Geography of Transport Systems (Routledge, New York, 2017). https://transportgeography.org/?page_id=9035.

101

Kindleberger C.P. et al., Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises (Palgrave Macmillan, New York, 1978).

102

Odlyzko A., ‘Collective hallucinations and inefficient markets: The British Railway Mania of the 1840s’, 2010.

103

Sandbu M., ‘Ten years on: Anatomy of the global financial meltdown’, Financial Times, 9 August 2017.

104

Alessandri P. et al., ‘Banking on the State’, Bank of England Paper, November 2009.

105

Elliott L. and Treanor J., ‘The minutes that reveal how the Bank of England handled the financial crisis’, The Guardian, 7 January 2015.

106

Интервью автора с Нимом Аринаминпати, август 2017 года.

107

Brauer F., ‘Mathematical epidemiology: Past, present, and future’, Infectious Disease Modelling, 2017; Bartlett M.S., ‘Measles Periodicity and Community Size’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, 1957.

108

Heesterbeek J.A., ‘A Brief History of R0 and a Recipe for its Calculation’, Acta Biotheoretica, 2002.

109

Smith D.L. et al., ‘Ross, Macdonald, and a Theory for the Dynamics and Control of Mosquito-Transmitted Pathogens’, PLOS Pathogens, 2012.

110

Nájera J.A. et al., ‘Some Lessons for the Future from the Global Malaria Eradication Programme (1955–1969)’, PLOS Medicine, 2011. Предложение искоренить оспу также было высказано в 1954 году, но не вызвало особого энтузиазма.

111

О репродуктивном числе: Heesterbeek J.A., ‘A Brief History of R0 and a Recipe for its Calculation’, Acta Biotheoretica, 2002.

112

Оценки репродуктивного числа: Fraser C. et al., ‘Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings’, Science, 2009; WHO Ebola Response Team, ‘Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa – The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections’, NEJM, 2014; Riley S. et al., ‘Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong’, Science, 2003; Gani R. and Leach S., ‘Transmission potential of smallpox in contemporary populations’, Nature, 2001; Anderson R.M. and May R.M., Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control (Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1992); Guerra F.M. et al., ‘The basic reproduction number (R0) of measles: a systematic review’, The Lancet, 2017.

113

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, ‘Transmission of Measles’, 2017. https://www.cdc.gov/measles/transmission.html.

114

Fine P.E.M. and Clarkson J.A., ‘Measles in England and Wales – I: An Analysis of Factors Underlying Seasonal Patterns’, International Journal of Epidemiology, 1982.

115

‘How Princess Diana changed attitudes to AIDS’, BBC News Online, 5 April 2017.

116

May R.M. and Anderson R.M., ‘Transmission dynamics of HIV infection’, Nature, 1987.

117

Eakle R. et al., ‘Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in an era of stalled HIV prevention: Can it change the game?’, Retrovirology, 2018.

118

Anderson R.M. and May R.M., Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control (Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1992).

119

Fenner F. et al., ‘Smallpox and its Eradication’, World Health Organization, 1988.

120

Wehrle P.F. et al., ‘An Airborne Outbreak of Smallpox in a German Hospital and its Significance with Respect to Other Recent Outbreaks in Europe’, Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 1970.

121

Woolhouse M.E.J. et al., ‘Heterogeneities in the transmission of infectious agents: Implications for the design of control programs’, PNAS, 1997. Идея была позаимствована у экономиста XIX века Вильфредо Парето, который заметил, что 20 % итальянцев владеют 80 % земель.

122

Endo A. et al., ‘Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China’, Wellcome Open Research, 2020; Adam D.C. et al., ‘Clustering and superspreading potential of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Hong Kong’, Nature Med, 2020.

123

Lloyd-Smith J.O. et al., ‘Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence’, Nature, 2005.

124

Worobey M. et al., ‘1970s and “Patient 0” HIV-1 genomes illuminate early HIV/AIDS history in North America’, Nature, 2016.

125

Cumming J.G., ‘An epidemic resulting from the contamination of ice cream by a typhoid carrier’, Journal of the American Medical Association, 1917.

126

Bollobas B., ‘To Prove and Conjecture: Paul Erdős and His Mathematics’, American Mathematical Monthly, 1998.

127

Potterat J.J., et al., ‘Sexual network structure as an indicator of epidemic phase’, Sexually Transmitted Infections, 2002.

128

Watts D.J. and Strogatz S.H., ‘Collective dynamics of “small-world” networks’, Nature, 1998.

129

Barabási A.L. and Albert R., ‘Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks’, Science, 1999. Похожая идея высказывалась в 1970-х годах, когда физик Дерек Джон де Солла Прайс анализировал научные публикации. Он предположил, что большая дисперсия в количестве цитирований может быть следствием предпочтительного присоединения: вероятность цитирования статьи возрастает, если ее уже часто цитируют. Price D.D.S., ‘A General Theory of Bibliometric and Other Cumulative Advantage Processes’, Journal of the American Society for Information Science, 1976.

130

Liljeros F. et al., ‘The web of human sexual contacts’, Nature, 2001; de Blasio B. et al., ‘Preferential attachment in sexual networks’, PNAS, 2007.

131

1 ... 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 ... 97
Перейти на страницу: