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887

Учитывая, что по правилам пари в число «жертв» входили люди, «нуждающиеся в госпитализации», Рис выиграл задолго до сентября 2020 года, когда общее число погибших превысило миллион. К сожалению для него, ставка составляла скромные 400 долларов. (Прим. авт.)

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888

For Rees’s «Long Now» interview on the subject in 2010, see FORA.tv, «Biotech Disaster by 2020? Martin Rees Weighs the Risks», September 14, 2010, YouTube video, 3:50, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqOBNft2OM.

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889

Подробности пари: Bet 9, Long Bets Project, http://longbets.org/9/.

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890

Steven Pinker, Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress (New York: Viking, 2018), pp. 142, 301, 307.

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891

Laurie Garrett, «The Next Pandemic», Foreign Affairs, July/August 2005, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/20050701/next-pandemic.

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892

Dan Balz, «America Was Unprepared for a Major Crisis. Again», Washington Post, April 4, 2020, https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/politics/america-was-unprepared-foramajor-crisis-again/.

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893

Michael Osterholm, «Preparing for the Next Pandemic», Foreign Affairs, July/August 2005, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/20050701/preparing-next-pandemic.

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894

Larry Brilliant, «My Wish: Help Me Stop Pandemics», February 2006, TED video, 25:38, https://www.ted.com/talks/larry_brilliant_my_wish_help_me_stop_pandemics.

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895

Ian Goldin and Mike Mariathasan, The Butterfly Defect: How Globalization Creates Systemic Risks and What to Do About It (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2014), chap. 6.

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896

Bill Gates, «The Next Outbreak: We’re Not Ready», March 2015, TED video, 8:25, https://www.ted.com/talks/bill_gates_the_next_outbreak_we_re_not_ready.

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897

Robert G. Webster, Flu Hunter: Unlocking the Secrets of a Virus (Otago, New Zealand: University of Otago Press, 2018).

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898

Ed Yong, «The Next Plague Is Coming. Is America Ready?» Atlantic, July/August 2018, https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/07/when-the-next-plague-hits/561734/.

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899

Thoughty2, «This Is the New Killer Virus That Will End Humanity», November 15, 2019, YouTube video, 15:35, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Jhz0pVSKtI &app=desktop.

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900

Lawrence Wright, The End of October (New York: Random House, 2020). Эта книга предположительно была завершена в 2019 г.

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901

Peter Frankopan, «We Live in the Age of the Pandemic. This Is What We Need to Do About It», Prospect, December 8, 2019, https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/pandemic-likelihood-preparednessukwho-global.

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902

A. S. Fauci, «Infectious Diseases: Considerations for the 21st Century», IDSA lecture, Clinical Infectious Diseases 32 (2001), pp. 675–678. О трудностях с противотуберкулезными вакцинами см.: Morven E. M. Wilkie and Helen McShane, «TB Vaccine Development: Where Are We and Why Is It So Difficult?» Thorax 70 (2015), pp. 299–301, https://doi.org/10.1136/thoraxjnl-2014-205202.

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903

David M. Morens et al., «The Challenge of Emerging and Re-Emerging Infectious Diseases», Nature 430 (July 8, 2004), pp. 242–249; Robin A. Weiss, «The Leeuwenhoek Lecture, 2001: Animal Origins of Human Infectious Diseases», Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society Biological Sciences 356 (2001), pp. 957-77. См. также: Dorothy H. Crawford, Deadly Companions: How Microbes Shaped Our History (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007), pp. 214f.

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904

K. E. Jones et al., «Global Trends in Emerging Infectious Diseases», Nature 451 (February 2008), pp. 990–994.

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905

Vittoria Colizza et al., «The Role of the Airline Transportation Network in the Prediction and Predictability of Global Epidemics», PNAS 103, no. 7 (2006), pp. 2015–2020. См. также: Globalization 101, «Health and Globalization», SUNY Levin Institute, http://www.globalization101.org.

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906

Stephen S. Morse, «Emerging Viruses: Defining the Rules for Viral Traffic», Perspectives in Biology and Medicine 34, no. 3 (1991), pp. 387–409; Joshua Lederberg, «Infectious Diseases as an Evolutionary Paradigm», Emerging Infectious Diseases 3, no. 4 (December 1997), pp. 417–423. См. также: Mark Honigsbaum, The Pandemic Century: A History of Global Contagion from the Spanish Flu to Covid-19 (London: Penguin, 2020), pp. 165f.

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907

D. Campbell-Lendrum, «Global Climate Change: Implications for International Public Health Policy», Bulletin of the World Health Organization 85, no. 3 (2007), pp. 235–237. См. также: World Health Organization, Climate Change and Human Health: Risks and Responses, Summary (Geneva: WHO, 2003).

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908

Kristian G. Andersen et al., «The Proximal Origin of SARS-CoV2», Nature Medicine 26 (2020), pp. 450–452, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-08209.

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